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Latvian party ratings
Latest SKDS poll (04.–16.09.2026.): United List 14.4%, Sovereign Power / Young Latvians 9.4%, Latvia First 9.2% of all respondents. The United List won the 15th Saeima election on 3 October 2026 (35.29%); six lists cleared the 5% threshold. All figures come from published sources, linked below.
Updated 6 November 2026. Next update once a new SKDS poll is published.
How to read the numbers. SKDS and Latvijas Fakti publish shares of all respondents — including those still undecided (20–28%) or not planning to vote (11–16%). That is why poll ratings sit well below election results, which count valid ballots only. Compare polls with each other, not with the election result.
Latest polls and the election result
| Party | SKDS, 04.–16.09.2026. | chg. | Latvijas Fakti, 2026. gada septembris | Election 3/10/2026 | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United List | 14.4 | −0.8 | 15.9 | 35.29 | 41 |
| Latvia First | 9.2 | +0.7 | 8.6 | 13.08 | 17 |
| Sovereign Power / Young Latvians | 9.4 | −2.4 | 5.9 | 11.71 | 15 |
| National Alliance | 5.6 | +1.1 | 6.0 | 8.90 | 10 |
| The Progressives | 6.2 | −2.6 | 8.3 | 7.88 | 10 |
| New Unity | 4.3 | +0.1 | 4.2 | 6.36 | 7 |
| Union of Greens and Farmers | — | 7.1 | 4.40 | 0 | |
| We Change the Rules | 2.5 | +0.9 | 2.2 | 3.43 | 0 |
| For Latvia’s Development | 2.4 | −0.1 | 2.2 | 2.18 | 0 |
| For Stability! | 2.8 | +0.1 | 2.2 | 2.00 | 0 |
| Rising Sun for Latvia | 1.3 | — | 1.33 | 0 | |
| Gobzems’ List | 1.2 | — | 0.98 | 0 | |
| Harmony Centre (until 2026: Harmony) | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.82 | 0 | |
| New Conservative Party | 0.5 | — | 0.33 | 0 |
Polls: % of all respondents. SKDS: won’t vote — 14.9%. Latvijas Fakti: undecided — 20.0%, won’t vote — 12.9%. Election: % of valid envelopes, turnout 51.79%; “—” means the figure was not published in text. The ZZS figure appears only in a chart in the article.
SKDS poll trend, 2025-07 — 2026-09
All charts share one scale; the dashed line is the 5% threshold. Months without a published figure are skipped.
All polls (table)
| Poll | AS | LPV | SV/AJ | NA | PRO | JV | ZZS | Stab. | MMN | LA | SC | ASL | JKP | LKS | Par! | P21 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latvijas Fakti 2026. gada septembris | 15.9 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 23/09/2026 |
| SKDS 04.–16.09.2026. | 14.4 | 9.2 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 4.3 | — | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | — | — | — | 25/09/2026 |
| Latvijas Fakti 21.–31.08.2026. | 15.6 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 03/09/2026 |
| SKDS 13.–19.08.2026. | 15.2 | 8.5 | 11.8 | 4.5 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27/08/2026 |
| SKDS 10.–15.07.2026. | 12.2 | 10.0 | 11.4 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 01/08/2026 |
| SKDS 06.–16.06.2026. | 9.8 | — | 8.6 | — | — | 4.2 | 4.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 02/07/2026 |
| SKDS 24.04.–06.05.2026. | 6.8 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21/05/2026 |
| SKDS 2026. gada marts | — | 8.9 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 02/04/2026 |
| SKDS 21.11.–03.12.2025. | 5.6 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 3.8 | — | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 11/12/2025 |
| SKDS 2025. gada oktobris | 6.5 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 14/11/2025 |
| SKDS 2025. gada jūlijs | 6.3 | 8.9 | 5.4 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 04/08/2025 |
- SKDS, 04.–16.09.2026.: The ZZS figure appears only in a chart in the article.
- SKDS, 10.–15.07.2026.: July figures for LPV, the Progressives, MMN, For Stability! and LA are quoted in the August article (lsm.lv, 27.08.2026).
- SKDS, 06.–16.06.2026.: Figures for the other parties appear only in a chart in the article.
- SKDS, 2026. gada marts: The article does not give a figure for the United List.
- Factum has published no polls this cycle.